Bulletin of Surveying and Mapping ›› 2022, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (8): 68-74.doi: 10.13474/j.cnki.11-2246.2022.0234

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Assessment of debris flow susceptibility based on different slope unit division methods and BP neural network

LI Kun1,2,3, ZHAO Junsan1,2,3, LIN Yilin1,2,3, ZHOU Bao1,2,3   

  1. 1. Faculty of Land Resources Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China;
    2. Key Laboratory of Geospatial Information Integration Innovation for Smart Mines, Kunming 650093, China;
    3. Spatial Information Integration Technology of Natural Resources in Universities of Yunnan Province, Kunming 650211, China
  • Received:2021-11-01 Published:2022-09-01

Abstract: Selecting appropriate assessment units is the key to the assessment of debris flow susceptibility. In order to explore the impact of different methods of slope unit division on the assessment results of debris flow susceptibility. Taking Dongchuan district as an example, this paper compares and analyzes the effects of two slope unit division methods: hydrological analysis method and curvature watershed method in the evaluation of debris flow susceptibility. Based on the interpretation of debris flow points, the slope units with different division methods are used as the assessment unit, and the preliminary selected index factors are analyzed for multicollinearity and contribution rate to improve the index factor system, and finally build the debris flow susceptibility evaluation model based on BP neural network. The results show that the very high and high susceptibility areas of debris flow are mainly distributed in the Xiaojiang river valley and the south bank of Jinsha river in the study area, where the geological environment is fragile and the risk is high; The AUC value of the susceptibility model based on the curvature watershed method is 0.8658, which is higher than that of the hydrological analysis method of 0.8153, indicating that the slope unit divided by the curvature watershed method is more suitable for debris flow susceptibility assessment in the study area.

Key words: debris flow, susceptibility assessment, slope unit division, BP neural network, index factor

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